Publications
“Public Listing Choice with Persistent Hidden Information” with Francesco Celentano [ pdf ]
— Forthcoming, Review of Economic Studies
How much has the proliferation of intangible assets amplified the opacity of public firms, contributing to the decline of publicly listed firms and increase in public CEO pay?
How much does firm intangibility amplify CEOs' persistent private information and reduce firms' public listing propensity? We develop a model of competing public and private investors financing firms heterogeneously exposed to persistent private cashflows. Equilibrium financing is driven by information rent differentials in CEO compensation. We validate and structurally estimate the model using firm listing and CEO compensation data. We find private (intangible) cashflows exhibit 63% higher persistence than their tangible counterparts. Further, if firm intangibility levels returned to those of 1980, mean listing propensities would increase 8 percentage points while mean CEO variable pay growth would decrease by 43%.
- Best Paper Award Winner, 4th Annual Boca-ECGI Corporate Finance and Governance Conference, 2023
- Best Paper Award in Corporate Finance Semifinalist, Financial Management Association (FMA), 2023
- Best Paper Award Semifinalist, USC Marshall PhD Conference in Finance, 2019
- 1st Prize Winner, Bank of Canada Graduate Student Paper Competition, 2019
“Improving Overnight Loan Identification in Payment Systems,” 2016, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 48(2-3), pp. 549-564.
Working Paper Version — Bank of Canada Staff Working Paper Series 2014-06.
Code — [ zip ]; Online Appendix — [ pdf ]
Informing and improving inter-bank (e.g. Fed funds) loan measurement
Abstract:Information on the allocation and pricing of over-the-counter (OTC) markets is scarce. Furfine (1999) pioneered an algorithm that provides transaction-level data on the OTC interbank lending market. The veracity of the data identified, however, is not well established. Using permutation methods, I estimate an upper bound on the daily false positive rate of this algorithm to be between 10% and 20%. I propose refinements that reduce the bound to 10% or lower with negligible power loss. The results suggest that the inferred prices and quantities of overnight loans provide viable estimates of interbank lending market activity for Canadian data.
Working papers and selected works in progress
“Innovation and Firm Dynamics with Patent Wars”[pdf ]
How much does patent stockpiling and litigation shape entry barriers, competition and economic growth?
Ideas are hard to protect. Court patent enforcement is uncertain and can be shaped by asymmetries in firms' intellectual property protection (IPP) investments, such as their patent portfolios or IP legal teams. I develop and empirically assess a framework where these IPP investments shape entry barriers by simultaneously inhibiting rival business stealing, and facilitating profitable entry into rival product markets. As a result, large, innovative, `superstar' firms endogenously arise from greater IPP investment incentives tied to their existing market power and IPP investment cost advantages. However, the aggregate impact of these superstars for economic growth and consumer welfare may be negative due to excessive stifling and copying of new entrants’ innovations. Using a novel firm-matched patent portfolio and IP litigation event dataset, I find evidence supporting this mechanism and that existing patent enforcement may inhibit creative destruction and harm consumer welfare.
- Invited paper for Productivity, Innovation and Economic Growth Conference, (Banff, 2024)
- Presentations include Society of Economic Dynamics (Cartagena, 2023), Econometric Society North America (UCLA, 2023), Rotman Finance
“Stockpiling Liquidity to Acquire Innovation” [pdf] with Anubha Agarwal
How much has rising transferable productivity differences of intangible assets driven acquisitions and firm cash stockpiles, and what are its implications for aggregate economic growth and the role of monetary policy?
Cash utilization in US merger and acquisition (M&A) transactions has increased over 50% since the early 1990s amidst a secular, global M&A boom. How does this cash-use relate to firm's cash stockpiles, and what are the aggregate implications for firm innovative efforts, growth and monetary policy? To answer these questions, we pose a general equilibrium theory of R&D-intensive firm cash stockpiling and use in M&A transactions. M&A cash bids can close faster than those externally financed, hence reducing the hazard of competing offers and external risks of trade breakdown. A higher common-value component in M&A arising from transferable productivity of firms' intangible assets spurs increased M&A competition and serial acquirer cash-stockpiles. Despite sellers receiving a cash-premium as compensation, cash-use biases M&A rents and growth incentives towards serial acquirers. Higher nominal interest rates differentially impact internal and external growth incentives across firms, re-shaping the firm-size and productivity distribution.
- Presentations include Summer Workshop on Money, Banking, Payments and Finance (2024), University of British Columbia, University of North Carolina, Virtual Seminar on Innovation and Economic Growth (2025) Barcelona Summer Forum – Macro Fluctuations with Micro Frictions (2026)
“Buy vs Rent Heuristic” with Briana Chang, Hyson-Soo Choi, Harrison Hong, and Jeffrey Kubick
How informative is price-to-rent ratios as a heuristic guide in deciding when and where to buy?
A widely-used heuristic in real estate is that households are better off searching for a home in housing markets with low price-to-rent ratios. Through the lens of a model of search for differentiated homes and time-varying rents, we assess the implications of this heuristic for the expected surplus of US home buyers. We propose model-implied restrictions, based on rents, transactions prices and days on the market, to estimate our model. Within cities, lower price-to-rent is significantly associated with higher expected buyer surplus only for large dense urban cities. Across similarly dense cities, variation in price-to-rent ratios are unrelated to expected buyer surplus as it reflects better average match quality rather than bargaining power between buyers and sellers.
“Intraday Trade Dynamics in Short-Term Funding Markets” with Francisco Rivadeneyra
What can explain the violation of overnight collateralized (repo) rates trading above their uncollateralized interbank counterparts and why it matters for monetary policy implementation.
Dislocations in money markets across several major jurisdictions have raised questions about the effectiveness of monetary policy implementation mechanisms. We develop a heterogeneous agent, search-based model of interbank markets and monetary policy implementation which explains the changes in the functioning of money markets. Banks meet payment shocks by trading re-serves in a centralized (collateralized) morning market, over-the-counter (un-collateralized) afternoon markets or with the central bank at the end of day. To preclude a holdup problem, banks without access to central bank facilities carry intraday precautionary reserves which can lead to market segmentation if these buffers exceed the end-of-day reserve demands. The model provides testable implications to evaluate the changes to implementation mechanismsin jurisdictions like the US, EU and Canada.
“Knowledge Spillovers over the Life Cycle” with Dongryeol Lee
How do knowledge spillovers reshape firms’ growth incentives over the life cycle?
We develop, test and structurally estimate a general equilibrium theory of firms’ R&D policies over their life cycle in the presence of public and private knowledge spillovers. We test the theory using data on patent license agreements and patent citations. Early-stage firms innovative efforts have negative associations to publicly shared knowledge, while mature firms have positive ties to their IP being utilized by others. In contrast, privatized knowledge sharing through license agreements has positive ties to early-stage firms’ R&D but negative for mature firms.